Newsletter No.40 Revisited
What happens now...?
Any member who still has a copy of Newsletter 40 (March 2007) might have a few moments of fun re-reading it. It was a slim extra copy produced in the run-up to the Holyrood elections in May of that year. It started by listing the ten things in an even earlier Newsletter (25, in the run-up to the 2001 General Election, when railway matters in Scotland were still very much a Westminster responsibility) which had set out as Questions To Ask Your Candidate. The 2005 article reckoned that one out of the ten (Invernet) had been achieved which, while a good start, was hardly thrilling stuff. The article set out, in a leisurely way, what The Real Rail Way Ahead: 2007 - 2035
should look like.
And in many ways it was gratifyingly accurate. The 12 things (there had been some inflation) listed were:
- Do some work on redoubling and/or loops on the FNL and Kyle Line (no, but NR might be beginning to think about a loop at Lentran);
- RETB replacement and colour light signalling as far as Dingwall (no, but TS might be thinking about extending the planned HML installation of ERTMS beyond Inverness);
- Controlled-emission toilets on 158s (YES);
- Further extension of Invernet (YES);
- Inverness-Aberdeen redoubling and/or loops (no, but some work is planned in CP5);
- HML doubling (no, but this is clearly in NR planning);
- Gauge clearance to allow 170s and 22Xs to run on inter-city routes (no, but an even better option of having HSTs on these routes by 2019, so scored as a YES since better rolling stock was the desired outcome);
- Replacement rolling stock (partial, but the matter is very much on the table. The new electric sets for EGIP will certainly score a YES and the HSTs on the inter-city score a YES. Whether the much-vaunted "tourist train" - sexed up 158s - will strike FNL users as anything new is a matter still in the jury room);
- E-G electrification (YES);
- Waverley Phase II (YES, and very fine it is);
- GSWR doubling (no);
- Initial work on identifying a route for High Speed between Edinburgh and Glasgow (partial, as the idea of HSx is firmly in Scottish Ministers' minds, linking with HS2 and even perhaps (stripping out the pre-election guff) starting to build south from the Central Belt towards some English destination - Newcastle?).
That's 5½
YES, and 5
no. A lot better than 1 out of 10 last time. Pushing for items 1 and 2 are FoFNL's highest priority now as although there have been several successful predictions their benefits have not been felt up here. Caithness and Sutherland passengers, taxpayers and - occasionally - voters require the pendulum to swing their way. The Central Belt is swallowing up investment (albeit at nothing like the London rate); the Borders are now having their cake. Rail spending per head of population in London exceeds the spending per head in the north of England by a factor of several dozen; it probably exceeds the amount spent per head of population in the north of Scotland by a factor of several hundred. But in 2016 there's another Holyrood election, and this autumn there's the start of the CP6 planning process, so come on, chaps, time for delivery.
Mike Lunan